Por Miguel A. Kiguel
Todos sabemos cómo funciona el cepo, y hemos aprendido a vivir con tasas de interés reales negativas, a usar el dólar Contado con Liqui para eludir los controles...
The ups and downs of the Macri-economics scenarios
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The ups and downs of the Macri-economics scenarios
Julio 2016
All eyes are now posed on the evolution of key macroeconomic variables, as inflation is displaying more persistence than had been anticipated, the recession is proving to be deeper, while there are more concerns about the fiscal accounts and the real appreciation of the peso.
In what follows we rely on a matrix of scenarios to play with the possible economic and political outcomes of Argentina for the next years during the Presidency of Macri (2016-19). For the sake of simplicity, scenarios depend on whether domestic and external conditions are positive or negative.