LATAM8 Brief

Latam8 Brief Reports

Latam 8 June 19

Latam 8 June 19

22 Junio 2020
The economy seems to have touched bottom in April, but the recovery is not looking like a V-shaped one. Firstly, the lockdown continues in the Buenos Aires area and is likely to do so through July. Secondly, the government is limiting in the second half the size of the stimulus programs. Thirdly, the payment chain f...

Latam 8 December 20

Latam 8 December 20

20 Diciembre 2019
Alberto Fernández assumed the presidency on December 10th with Cristina Fernández de Kirchner as his vice-president. The key positions at the Central Bank (Miguel Ángel Pesce), the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Felipe Solá) and the Ministry of Economy (Martín Guzmán) carry Alberto’s seal rather than Cristina’s. The f...

Latam 8 September 20

Latam 8 September 20

23 Septiembre 2019
Macri lost the primaries against Alberto Fernández by an unexpected difference of 15 points. The market reaction was very negative, with a significant depreciation of the peso and significant losses across all asset classes. Hernán Lacunza became the new Minister of Finance. General elections will take place on Octo...

Latam 8 June 26

Latam 8 June 26

26 Junio 2019
Macri shocked the political space by choosing Miguel Pichetto as his vice president candidate. He’s a veteran Peronist, a pro market defender and one of the leaders of Alternativa Federal. The decision was celebrated by the market, with a nominal FX appreciation of the Peso to 42.50, and a slump in country risk to 8...

Latam 8 March 19

Latam 8 March 19

26 Marzo 2019
The IMF staff and local authorities reached an agreement on the 3rd review of the program. Still subject to the approval of the Executive Board, Argentina will access to US$10.87 billion in the coming weeks. The image of the Government is 23% lower than a year ago and close to the lowest since Macri took office. Fir...

Latam 8 November 18

Latam 8 November 18

26 Noviembre 2018
The IMF closed a new deal with Argentina, adding USD 6.0 billion to the existing stand-by credit, now totaling USD 56.3 billion. While the government took several months to find a response to the crisis, it now seems to finally managed, with the support of the IMF, to put together a policy package that can succeed i...

Latam 8 September 18

Latam 8 September 18

28 Septiembre 2018
Macri announced negotiations to improve the IMF program, but there were no details and the IMF remained silent. This created confusion in the market followed by rumors of possible changes in cabinet. This weakened Macri´s image, already in lows by the currency crisis, and raised questions about his chances for re-el...

Latam 8 July 18

Latam 8 July 18

21 Junio 2018
The peso continued depreciating in June after the Central Bank withdrew the USD 5 billion offer at 25 ARS/USD in FX market and forced the resignation of Sturzenegger. Luis Caputo became the new president of the CB, a move to restore credibility. He has reputation as a great trader with skills to deal with financial ...

Latam 8 May 18

Latam 8 May 18

30 Mayo 2018
The currency run that depreciated the peso 30% so far this year is having an impact. The government’s image dropped to the lowest levels since Macri took office in late 2015, as its positive image is now below 40%. While it still has over a year to make a comeback, the perception that many political analysts had tha...

Latam 8 March 18

Latam 8 March 18

23 Marzo 2018
The last few months were difficult for Macri administration. Its popularity dropped to the pre-October election levels of around 46% after surging in late Oct-Nov, consumer confidence suffered the overall mood among investors and the business community clearly took a bearish turn. The government still has the advant...

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