Weekly

Weekly Reports

Has the Central Bank taken a new loan with the Bank of France?

Third week
of October 2013
In the last months, the gap between the Central Bank’s net purchases in the FX market and the evolution of gross reserves has been growing, after adjusted by debt payments in foreign currency and changes in the FX holdings of financial institutions and other factors. In fact, reserves have contracted US$ 9 billion...

An “ugly” September that evidence constraints and anticipates economic changes

Second week
of October 2013
There was a significant deterioration in external and fiscal accounts in September. Other negative data, such as monthly inflation, which exhibited its highest value for September since 1991, seemed trivial in comparison. Although the definitive external and fiscal account figures have not yet been released, Centr...

The economy grows at “Chinese rates” but doesn´t create jobs

Fifth week
of September 2013
The last economic activity figures published by INDEC show that the economy grew 8.3% in Q2 and accumulated a 5.8% expansion in the first semester. That is, according to official data, Argentina is still growing “Chinese rates”, like in 2003-2008. Employment, however, is suffering a different fate: according to th...

The “official” peso is at its highest value since 2001

Fourth week
of September 2013
In August, the real multilateral exchange rate (which considers the bilateral exchange rates weighted by their incidence in international trade) reached its highest appreciation since the devaluation of the peso in early 2002. The multilateral exchange rate was 43% higher than in late 2001. In the short term, the ...

Higher peso depreciation leads to higher monetization

First week
of September 2013
These days the Central Bank will publish its Income Statement for 2012, where it will announce approximately US$ 32 billion in profits, which will be transferred to the Treasury throughout this year. In fact, AR$ 7 billion were already transferred in the first five months. Thus, there remain an additional AR$ 25 bil...

Court of Appeals endorsed the Griesa’s ruling

Fourth week
of August 2013
Last Friday, the New York Court of Appeals wrote a new chapter in the Argentine public debt restructuring saga. It was bad news. On the one hand, as we had expected, the Court ruled that holdouts have the right to collect the entire debt and rejected the offer of Argentina to pay them the same as the hold-ins. The m...

Cenral Bank temporary advances reach "extraordinary" limit and raises new questions

Third week
of August 2013
Central Bank temporary advances to the Treasury rose to AR$ 154 billion, well above the “normal” upper limit, which is currently AR$ 100 billion, and just below the “exceptional” limit that can be made over 18 months, which is AR$ 162 billion. This means that Central Bank financing to the Treasury is actually seve...