Monthly Reports

What's next on monetary policy and exchange rate policies?

September 2018
There was another round of run on the currency during August, which was caused largely by local events. Although other emerging-markets currencies underperformed and put extra pressure on the exchange rate, the Argentine Peso was the worst: YTD it depreciated more than 100%, followed only by the Turkish Lira (75%). ...

Recalculating: new policies, new economic outcomes

July 2018
In Argentina the dollar is king, as some key indicators such as consumer confidence, the government’s positive image and financial stability dance at its tune. There are few countries where consumers, investors and politicians follow so closely the evolution of the exchange rate and where devaluations can topple gov...

Waiting for the IMF

May 2018
The strategy of a gradual reduction of the fiscal deficit that the government implemented since the outset had always had one weakness: it depended on external financing.  Confidence was of the essence. Unfortunately, the increase in US interest rates, the strengthening of the US dollar combined with some domes...

The pros and cons of changing the inflation targets

January 2018
December was a hectic month for Macri’s administration, with relevant news in the economic, social and political fronts. On the one hand, the Government succeeded in passing the 2018 Budget, the tax reform and the Pension Reform in the Lower House. Although it was finally approved, the Pension Reform has drawn criti...