Monthly

Monthly Reports

A new look at the deterioration of the external accounts

March 2012
The external accounts surplus and the resulting accumulation of international reserves have been key pillars of macroeconomic stability in Argentina in recent years. Last year, for the first time in the Kirchner’s era, international reserves fell by around US$ 6 billion, and this reduction took place in spite of r...

An assessment of fiscal and financial constraints in provinces

February 2012
It seems clear that the fiscal situation of the provinces has become tighter in recent years, an issue that has raised questions about the ability to service their debt. This report argues that most provinces are only running small deficits following an election year, and while the fiscal situation is tighter than...

Desperately seeking dollars: is the government overreacting?

January 2012
The draconian foreign exchange restrictions that the government has been implementing in recent months are raising questions about their motivation, their possible economic implications and the likelihood that they could be intensified in the near future (à la Venezuela). The imposition of the controls indicates t...

New cabinet, old economic recipes, but far from a rose garden

December 2011
Lorenzino, the new Economic Minister, will be the visible figure of the government and his main role is likely to be in the international side, dealing with the G-20 issues and leading the negotiations with the IMF, the Paris Club and the multilateral Banks. His choice indicates that Cristina wants some continuity...