Difficult political and economic scenarios condition the IMF agreement

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Difficult political and economic scenarios condition the IMF agreement

October 2021

The defeat in the primaries marked a before and after for the government coalition. There were important changes in the cabinet and the tensions within the government became apparent. There are different visions about what to do in the economic front. On one side we have the more radical wing (led by Cristina Kirchner and the Campora) arguing for a clear move towards populism and stating their opposition to the adjustments that would require an IMF program. On the other side we have the moderates (including the new chief of cabinet Juan Manzur, Finance Minister Martín Guzman, some of the Governors and the Traditional Peronists). All of them are in favor of an IMF program which implies starting to address the economic imbalances, probably after the November elections.