A Black Swan With All the Options Open

Weekly  Reports

 

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A Black Swan With All the Options Open

Second week
August 2023

The result of the primary election in Argentina delivered important surprises. Javier Milei, who was supposed to come third, emerged as the winner. His party obtained 30.04% of the votes followed by Juntos por el Cambio (main opposition) with 28.27% and then the government with 27.27%. This almost rules out a definition in the first round to be held on 22 October and leaves all the combinations open for the runoff to be held on 19 November.